Ua hoʻokumu nā mea miners aila ʻaila o Alberta i kahi moʻolelo 1.6 miliona bbl / lā o ka bitumen i 2022, pālua i ka awelika o 2009. ʻO ka ulu ʻana o ka hoʻonui ʻana he 10% i hoʻokahi makahiki ma mua o ʻelua mau makahiki i hala, ʻoiai ua ʻoi aku ka maʻalahi o nā makahiki i hala ma muli o ka nele. o nā wahi paipu, nā kauoha curtailment a me ka maʻi maʻi COVID-19.
Akā he aha ka mea e hiki mai ana no ka ʻeli ʻana i ke one ʻaila?ʻAʻole like me nā hale hana in-situ, pono nā mines hou i ka ʻae federal, hiki ke lōʻihi a maopopo ʻole.Hoʻohui pū ʻia me ka puʻu kalapona a me ka net-zero aspirations i ka makahiki 2050, ʻaʻole paha e waiho ʻia kekahi mau papahana hou no ka ʻae federal i kekahi manawa koke.
Eia naʻe, ʻaʻole i nalowale nā mea a pau, no ka mea he nui nā mea hoʻonui a me nā papahana debottlenecking i loaʻa i nā ʻae ʻia.
NA PAPA HANA HANA
E pau ana kekahi mau mines i kēia mau makahiki e hiki mai ana.Hoʻomaka ʻia ʻo Horizon a me Mildred Lake's North Mine e hoʻomaka i ka hoʻopau ʻana i nā hana i ka manawa koke, a ua ʻae lāua ʻelua i nā hoʻolālā pani o kaʻu i nā hana.
No ka hoʻoneʻe ʻana o Horizon i nā hana mining i Horizon South, i ʻike mua ʻia ʻo ka lua ʻo Joslyn North, a e neʻe ʻo Mildred Lake i Mildred Lake Extension West (MLX-W) i nā makahiki e hiki mai ana.He hoʻoneʻe koʻikoʻi nā mea ʻelua i nā mea hana eli, a ʻaʻole e komo i nā mea kanu hana hou.
ʻO ka mine hou e hoʻopau ʻia ʻo Suncor's Base Plant, aia ma kahi o 10 mau makahiki o koʻu ola i koe.ʻAʻole ʻae ʻia ʻo Base Mine Extension (BMX), a ua hoʻopaneʻe ʻo Suncor i nā hoʻolālā e waiho i kāna palapala hoʻoponopono i 2025, ʻo ia ka lā o ke koho balota federal e hiki mai ana.ʻAʻole like me Horizon South a me MLX-West, e koi ana ʻo BMX i nā mea kanu hana hou, no ka mea aia ka mine ma ka ʻaoʻao komohana o ka muliwai ʻo Athabasca.
HANA HOOLAHA DEBOTTLENECKING
He mau papahana liʻiliʻi ko Horizon ma nā puke, me ka hoʻonui ʻia ʻana o ka hilinaʻi liʻiliʻi, kahi hale mālama Froth hou, a me kahi mea kanu i loko o ka lua (IPEP).ʻOiai ʻaʻohe manawa paʻa i kēia manawa no ka hoʻopau ʻana, hiki i nā papahana ʻekolu ke hoʻonui i ka huahana ma kahi o 100,000 bbl/lā.
Loaʻa i ka Imperial's Kearl Mine kahi lumi e ulu ai i loko o kāna palena hoʻoponopono i ʻae ʻia.Wahi a ka hui, ke nānā nei ʻo ia i ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka huahana ma 10%, a i ʻole 25,000 bbl/lā, ma 2030. I ka wā kokoke, ke nānā nei ʻo Kearl i ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka bitumen ma o ka hoʻohui ʻana i ka mana flotation hou aku.
HOOLAHA MAHELE
ʻEkolu hoʻonui nui i loaʻa nā ʻae federal i kahi.
Ua ʻae ʻia ʻo Syncrude's Aurora South ma ke ʻano he ʻāpana o ka Aurora Project i nā makahiki 1990.Ua ʻae mua ʻia ʻo Aurora no 430,000 bbl / lā i ʻehā mau manawa - ʻelua ma Aurora North, a ʻelua ma Aurora South.He 225,000 bbl / lā ka mana o Aurora North, e waiho ana i "wahi hoʻoponopono" no kahi 200,000 bbl / lā ma Aurora South.Eia nō naʻe, pono kēia i ka hoʻonui nui ʻana o ka Mildred Lake upgrader, ʻaʻole paha e hiki mai.Ua ʻōlelo ka hui e hoʻomohala ʻia ʻo Aurora South i ka wā i pau ai ka MLX, kahi i manaʻo ʻia ma kahi o 2040.
Loaʻa iā Albian Sands ʻelua ʻano hana hoʻonui i Jackpine.Ua ʻae ʻia ka Mine Jackpine no ʻelua mau kaʻaahi, akā ʻo Train 1 wale nō i hoʻopau ʻia.Ua loaʻa pū i ka mea hoʻohana mua ʻo Shell Canada nā ʻae ʻia no kahi mea kanu hana 100,000 bbl/lā ma ka Jackpine Expansion Mine, aia ma ka ʻākau o ka hoʻolimalima Jackpine e kū nei.
Eia nō naʻe, loaʻa iā Albian Sands nā mines i hoʻokomo ʻia he 340,000 bbl / lā, e pili pono ana me ka Scotford Upgrader.No laila, ʻo ka hoʻonui ʻia ʻana o ka mine e koi ana i ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka mea hoʻonui, a i ʻole ka ʻōnaehana e hana ai i kahi bitumen hiki ke kūʻai aku.
HOOHUI IA
He 1.8 miliona bbl/lā, 200,000 bbl/lā ma luna o ka awelika puka o ka makahiki i hala.ʻO ia ka hua haʻahaʻa, e hōʻike ana i kahi lumi no ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana i ʻae ʻia a paʻa.
Hoʻohui pū ʻia me nā hoʻolālā hoʻonui i hana ʻia, ʻoi aku ka nui o ka hana ʻana i ka bitumen i kahi kokoke i 1.9 miliona bbl/lā e 2030.
Loaʻa iā Canadian Natural Resources he 200,000 bbl / lā o ka "lumi hoʻomaha" ma Albian, hiki ke ʻike i ka mālamalama o ka lā ma ke ala.Eia nō naʻe, pono ia i nā kumukūʻai aila ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi, a me ka ʻoi aku ka maopopo o nā hoʻoponopono kalapona e hiki mai ana.
